UPDATED: 12-18-15 ..CONTINUED SECTION I.
REQUIRED READING PRIOR TO THIS SIM: (SEE ARTICLES AND THEIR ANALYSIS LISTED BELOW THIS SIM)
Additional research using the internet under GOOGLE and WIKIPEDIA using the keywords: France, ,current events, Immigration, Ethnic conflict, destabilization.
After reading these articles it became clear that the events described were a precursor leading to a potential ‘ETHNIC CLEANSING.’ if not ‘Destabilization.’
It is further evident that the events, as unfolding, were being promoted by a possible third party as a means to achieve wide spread destabilization among citizens and local infrastructure.
With the help of pretenders and INTEL provided by mediawars, it has been determined that a possible third party has initiated a conflict between those of different ethnic origins in order to proliferate a conflict between them.
At this time it has not yet been determined what the ultimate goal of the third party is, but we do know that based on the events so far, if not carefully approached, may actually cause a quicker escalation of the crisis.
The goal of Simulation #15-0920 is to stop, reverse as well as prevent the events that lead to a mass social phenomenon known as ETHNIC CLEANSING (as well as ‘destabilization.’)
Game 38 (Emissary groups declare holy war) at has completed. Over the next two weeks (Late Oct/Nov 2015) SIM 15-0920 will be posted here in sections…
Section I Nov 17, 2015
The articles present these events as worst case scenarios at their height of conflict.
An analysis explaining the nature of this crisis and its escalation has already been provided. (Contained as responses to the articles) What is being presented here are the necessary PREVENTATIVE measures should another terror attack of this nature occur against the general populace.
Since 911 and the formation of the DHS, the key to success against these kind of attacks has been found by educating as well as involving the active participation of its citizens.
The information contained here serves as a ‘CODE BREAKER’ to the reasoning and nature of these attacks to the average citizen. KNOWING and UNDERSTANDING are key toward preventing the escalation of any crisis.
With active participation and a plan for emergency, citizens have a means to work toward prevention while authorities can remain focused on the root causes.
An analysis of the simulation as compared to current events…
The INTEL shows a ‘proliferation’ of an ‘old’ and already long standing conflict between different ETHNIC groups that have been further ‘aggravated’ by an outside ‘third party’ enough to escalate the conflict toward destabilization.
This particular SIM also shows the fact that there were also two extremist groups found in ‘opposition’ to one another! (Not including the ‘outside’ party that served as a ‘trigger’ against them and the events in general.)
These parties were both active contributors in retaliation toward one another that ultimately helped to proliferate the conflict toward a level of destabilization.
It is interesting to know that though these extremist groups were in opposition, they actually share common ‘extremist’ views as well as ‘agendas’ with regard to ethnicity.
As related to current events, (unlike the SIM) you do not already have a heightened conflict already taking place that can be initiated or further aggravated by a ‘third party’ group. (Though we will take a look at possible mid to long term effects and how to reverse/reduce any potential compounding of any effects should they occur!)
Update: As of Dec 18, 2015 this continues to be the case. This delay in reporting was purposeful not only in proving this point, but to further show the resolve of the French people. (Vive La France!)
(With regard to the capping, reduction and prevention of a potential escalation to a crisis similar in nature to the MW SIM:)
Trail of infection.
1. The escalation of the crisis has been found to promote from extremist groups that originate from ‘outside’ the ‘target population’ (the target population being in this case: ‘the unaffected/assimilated’) with a goal toward destabilization of that target population.
2. These groups, though in opposition, share the same or similar common denominator with regard to their objectives.
3. The indoctrination of additional/secondary viewpoints help promote/proliferate an escalation of the crisis as well as effect each others ‘gain’ potential (in size/to a degree in magnitude directly related to their ‘imbalance.’)
4. The activities of these ‘outer’ associated groups can be found to be operating on a degree of ‘misdirection’ to the actual underlying cause. (extremist agenda/plan.) Which then only requires ‘opposition’ to promote its escalation/proliferation. (successfully ‘masking’ the hidden underlying as well as ‘forwarding’ the ’causes’/agenda)
more detailed analysis:
Factors that promote this trail of infection:
1. The promoting of this conflict outside the window of authoritative control (beyond the controls of public demonstration)
TBC..this SIM will be added to as well as updated to further address more of the specifics as described in the summary.
REQUIRED READING PRIOR TO SIM (OPERATION SOLIDARITY)———————————————–
Emissary Group Riots, Demanding Exalter Law
In the city center of Tours, in the nation of France, an Emissary protest turned into a full-scale riot today. The Exalter Brotherhood claims that “none will have peace until the Sacred Law is recognized.” Local police attempted to disperse the rioters with tear gas. The police were helped by eager citizens claiming to be part of a resistance group called the Charles Martel Resistance.
So-called ‘Hammer’ group members took more violent methods to handle the crowd. Several Emissaries were stabbed. Luckily, there have been no reported deaths in this incident.
It took many members of the local police forces to disperse the two opposing groups. France police are looking for Martel Resistance activists that escalated the riots and citizens are urged to keep their distance during riots or face arrest.
Considering the long standing and larger issue these events represent (as restimulated by the recent terror attacks) the history between the two groups are the collective and mutual aberration of unresolved yet similar issue/conflict over ‘integration.’
The continued and indirect ‘provoking’ of these two sides would serve to disrupt and destabilize the country of France as a whole.
Assuming this is the case, would attempting to side with one or the other solve the bigger issue between them?
Actually, it would seem that doing so would just further aggravate the situation as a whole. Much like the recent attacks had only served to indirectly cause a provoking between them.
So it would be more like adding to its effects rather than addressing it’s underlying causes?
Good call. I’ll add to that and conclude that the countermeasure in this case would definitely be to avoid taking a particular side and try to address this issue among them as a whole.
In the short term though, you have an upheaval and need to evaluate how close this brings things to critical mass.
My apologies. I take it you have something to add to that will make it a little more short sighted?
Now a simple answer to that would definitely serve to implicate me as well. Wouldn’t it? Lol..
Alright. Continue your evaluation…
The goal would first have to be toward capping if not ‘reducing’ the conflicts current ‘effects.’ A way to do that, as mentioned above, would be to ensure you don’t inadvertently contribute further to it’s ‘effects’….
And as also mentioned, a way to do that is also to ensure that the problem is addressed as a whole. Now tell me what would require, specifically…
Like a controlled reaction, it’s important from a point of ‘authority’ you maintain ‘balance’ and ‘control’ in the equation.
Can you tell me the basic underlying nature that would even makes this possible?
By providing an ‘outlet’ for this demonstration by the established authority. This serves to cap and maybe even ‘reduce’ the effects from going beyond the point of the demonstration itself.
Very good. Now conclude a short term solution involving the factors you made mention of earlier..
Is this the part where I say ‘on to the private line?’ lol. No offense Edward 🙂
This discussion has been a big help. It appears possible that these groups, though seemingly in opposition, both have the same common denominator that shows they actually share the same view when it comes to self preservation of their heritages. This may be a good starting point in discussion to make this fact known in addition to addressing the problem as a ‘whole.’
Kill Decree Issued on Martel Resistance
The Exalter Brotherhood posted a list of names of suspected Martel Resistance members and issued a Kill Decree against them. Thousands of French citizens who find themselves on this crowd-sourced list of Resistance soldiers protest that they have nothing to do with the movement. They insist that they have been falsely named. Reprisals are feared as the crisis in France escalates.
“I have no idea why someone thinks I’m part of the Resistance! I have a mistress and two kids to think of,” an anonymous French citizen claims.
Police authorities scramble to keep panic down and try to find the Martel Resistance members before the Exalter Brotherhood do. “The phone lines are constantly ringing. A man can hardly think!” says one police worker.
This is another clever way to instigate conflict among already established groups who have a history of opposition. This not only could have been sparked by a ‘third party’ but this clearly would spread paranoia as innocent victims who have nothing to do with this conflict suddenly find themselves ‘involved.’
This also represents a way to proliferate as a means to counter authorities efforts to quell this conflict.
The third element taking place, as yet another consequence of these events, is the build up of an uneven number of participants as they ‘take sides.’ The side with the greater magnitude of numbers tends to add an intensity that actually helps to quickly spurn an even faster growth among it’s opposition.
All with the consequence being a compounding of ‘effects’ overall since the hidden underlying ’causes’ remain unaddressed.
You took the words out of my mouth. I think you are starting to get the gist of this my dear boy. Very good.
Thanks, but you know that I’d prefer to put it into immediate action.
Considering that, let me add one more detail…lol
Your funny…but ok go ahead..
As discovered earlier, the groups involved actually represent a larger and more deeply ingrained societal conflict. So the groups, though in opposition, have a common denominator among them that is actually similar as well as singular in view if not abberative. Finding that particular view and addressing it as a whole should serve to cap this incident. Now you give me the rest….
You take all the fun out of this. What would you do if these incidents were already close to causing regional destabilization and you had to fight fire with fire?
You’ve made your point. Go on..
As already indicated by these incidents, you can see their method of strategy in causing this proliferation, so why not in turn, (until the long term solution takes effect) use a similar method toward keeping its effects from reaching that critical mass of destabilization? A fire is really only put out when you bring it back under the point of combustion…
Hmm, I see. Take the ‘heat’ out of the situation? I guess if all else fails we can try and ‘huff and puff’ on this one? lol…
Ha Ha. Sounds like a good back up plan for you Syd..
Hey, I just thought of something….Syd’s idea on finding the common denominator on this issue would seem to limit the conflict only among those who are already apart of this conflict and for good reason. With this conflict’s actual excuse-ism being based on the larger issue of integration in general, it is this idea..or legitimate concern itself that is capable of bringing in more ‘justifiable’ opposition into this conflict. Of course, once part of the conflict, the modus operandi then becomes and persists only because of the opposition and the things being committed to counter as well as further justify this conflict. Considering this, both sides of the opposition actually seem to share the same view when it comes to this preservation as associated to each ones own heritage.
Good detail to my initial thought. With this resolved and made known we can then focus on the immediate situation at those responsible..
And those responsible for aggravating this situation are just one aspect of this conflict. For those involved, early on in the conflict (as opposed to those indoctrinated later for the sake of cause) can be determined to be the hardened ones, existing on both sides of this conflict…the one’s who clearly have an unwavering prejudicial stance for the sake of heritage and self preservation at all costs…
And from the stance that comprises a majority of social perspective, this is considered to be an aberration. Well done. Now for the counter measure…
Alleged Resistance Leader Executed on the Internet
Masked Exalted Warriors and Defenders of Exalter Law have executed Pierre Doufouss on charges of crimes against their faith and Exalter Law. The execution was recorded and posted to MeTube. The grisly beheading scene has received millions of views, but came in 3rd place against HoHo Dogs and HaHa Cats. The Doufouss execution video was quickly removed from servers for its offensive content.
MeTube issued a public apology for allowing the video to remain on their servers for so long. The popular video hosting site may be seeing some lawsuits in the near future thanks to this video. Several critics blame the site for supporting terrorist activity.
Many have still not forgiven the site for allowing a famed Sacred Cow Beheading to stay up for so long.
This shows how the internet is not only a high value PR outlet for events like this, it creates a cover for the extremists to hide behind as others actually help to spread this kind of information inadvertently on their behalf!
Traceability is also thus reduced. You could also expect a huge suspect list between innocents as well as sympathizers that would serve to further slow down any investigation.
Also, the planning, organizing, exchange and execution of any plan can happen quicker using this outlet considering traditional methods.
Very good analysis on all your parts. Taking this into account along with what we have discovered based on earlier scenarios lets us continue to further expand upon our understanding. Before I add another element to this, I’ll allow each of you to further expand on your initial findings, starting with you Edward.
Expanding on the suspect list theory, this could also serve to put authority in the position to inadvertently help to raise the conflict level between the groups who have been involved in the longer standing conflict in this ‘integration’ issue, along with some of those who may be ‘suspect’ and have some ‘issue’ or some degree of involvement with the overall circumstance.
Very good. Your reasoning also falls in line with my initial findings that what we have here are effects compounding effects since the hidden underlying causes are not actually being addressed. Very Good. Alex…
This faster method of the implementation of their plans is made possible due to the credibility and visibility being placed in this form of media itself.
Very good. Another element to be added resulting from this unresolved mass social phenomena that reaches this ‘critical mass’ is called ethnic cleansing. To add to this further, at the onset of a conflict of this nature, the shorter lived group existing within a locale that uprises against another longer established local authority most likely would fail as well as ‘segregate.’ (by ethnicity as well as locality.) Given the extreme nature of these events, as clearly inflicted possibly by a third party, the intended outcome of these activities would be toward achieving this type of ‘cleansing!’
Nice addition as well as possible conclusion to these events. Depending upon the magnitude and number of participants in this conflict along with the longer standing long term issue in general, there could also be a risk of destabilization and chaos in the country as well!
And how close would that actually be as well as how far into the future considering these scenario’s? And how likely? And by whom? In my estimate based on the last ten years there seems to be a possibility for it to ten fold as well as create a direct correlation between the spreading of extremist views among those who are recent to their locales spreading a modified doctrine to those of a similar background who are longer, and largely established in their locales. And within these locales, there has been little or no assimulation/integration.
Very good. We are now seeing the geographical picture on this issue as well as its pattern of infection. Well done. In addition, already considering the lack of assimilation would further show this conflict to outwardly remain ‘external’ while having an indirect and smaller internal influence on the general population who are already dealing with this issue from the longer standing and deeply ingrained historical perspective. With that, we are now ready to begin addressing the countermeasures with the issue.
Emissaries Worldwide Demand Exalter Law
A global Exalter Arab Spring seems to be taking place. Emissaries around the world have risen up to demand that Exalter Law goes global. A Europe Emissary group has just announced solidarity with Exalter Brotherhood and demands that the West follow Exalter law alongside their own laws. They cite the Napeliionic Code and native tribal law.
An unidentified Exalter supporter claims, “We have the right to freedom of religion! We should be able to practice our faith fully. To do that we need Exalter law in our legal system.”
In response new Charles Martel themed groups have also risen up, armed themselves, and are networking. “We aren’t ‘gonna let those Emissaries try to take away our freedom so they can have theirs! We got rights too! This is our land, not theirs,” says famed blogger Redd Bill.
Police forces in many nations are already complaining about the amount of work this will cause local communities. “We don’t have the manpower or the funding to tackle an escalation in violence,” claims French Police Chief Dawson. The national armies have been put on alert in counties with large Emissary populations.
Despite the recent history in events relating to this issue (as presented in the media) the overall implication here is the ‘pattern’ that can lead to what is known as ‘Ethnic Cleansing.’ And it is a trend that can be found to contain at least two ‘initial’ extremist views in opposition as the root underlying cause. (Motivator)
Furthermore, the ‘source’ of these views can be found, initially, to exist ‘non-locally’ to a majority of an already ‘assimilated’ population. (TBC..)
I would have to say that is the case as well. The issue specifically with exalter law, is recent and can only be made, most likely, by those groups who currently reside within the country, but yet remain un-assimilated.
And with the initial sparking of an event between the two, the issue begins to make its way into the target population.
In this case being the integrated population. Very good. Now lets review this scenario’s pattern of progression considering this…Edward…
Well, this progression (if undetected) could suddenly give an appearance as if to manifest initially within this target population itself…
And even worse..it could reverberate back to its source adding further coherence to the issue!
Yes, if the underlying issue is not addressed, this is where we get a compounding of effects and further proliferation on an issue that, at that point begins to operate purely based on misdirection…
with yet a further compounding of these effects!
Of course, if the underlying issues fail to be addressed at all of these levels, what you could ultimately have (worst case) would show itself to be..ethnic cleansing.
With the current infrastructure in place, ethnic cleansing in this scenario would be possible, but unlikely. Risk of destabilization though, which should actually be the concern, would actually be higher. Of course if this is achieved, and is being caused by a third party, resolving the issue of integration would become impractical as well as impossible.
So the focus, in order to reduce the risk of destabilization, would be a focus on containment of the issue (integration) but it cannot nor should not be solved alone or seen as singular in this crisis?
I think that is understood now considering it would then also become about these secondary effects which is ultimately responsible and gives rise to a proliferation of the conflict toward destabilization before anything else.
Whoops. Correction..so, considering your comment Syd, failure to contain all levels of this conflict would actually be destabilization, rather than ethnic cleansing. Duly noted.
So it seems we live and learn..